Generalkaia asked me about my experiments at CTS. Since I haven't reached conclusions yet it actually is way too early to report about it. On the other hand it might inspire somebody else to start his own experiments. And I can use every help I can get.
Before I start I think it is appropriate to apologize for my crude way of thinking an calculating. It is my beloved method to measure two or three points of a graph, to draw a line thru these points and look to where it hits the sealing (or the floor).
At this way I stamp on subtleties and nuances of course, but it is a very fast way to find midway by its extremes.
Why these experiments in the first place?
For every ratingpoint improvement at CTS I have to solve 570 problems at average. 400 points in 400 days would mean 570 problems a day. This rises the question: can this be done more efficient?
These are the issues I'm experimenting with:
- Repeating every problem 3-4 times.
- Concentrate on the essential underlying patterns when repeating.
- Visualizing the whole line with the eyes closed.
- Speaking out loud what I think during the problemsolving.
- Redo the session history afterwards.
A grandmaster has stored 50,000 to 100,000 patterns in his system.
Let's take the most bad grandmaster (rating 2500): 50,000 patterns.
And let's take a person at the top of the bell curve: a rating of 1700.
I do the following assumption: a person with a mediocre rating (1700) has stored half the amount of patterns as a bad grandmaster.
The amateur has to store another 25,000 in his LTM to increase his rating with 800 points to become a bad grandmaster. This means at average 31 patterns per ratingpoint.
I consider a problem, together with its solution and variants to be 1 pattern.
To increase from 1470 to 1600 (130 points) at CTS you need to store 4400 problems in your LTM. That means at average 34 patterns for 1 CTS-ratingpoint.
The database of CTS contains 24,000 problems.
17,000 of them are reachable to me over time. For the other 7,000 problems my rating is too high. Mastering those 17,000 patterns would give me an additional rating of 550. That's a point which we can measure overtime:)